Variety.com
variety.com
Home  |   |  Text size: a- A+
    Log In    Variety Discussions    Glossary
  • News

    • Latest
    • Film
    • TV
    • International
    • Business
    • Music
    • Legit
    • Technology
    • Home Entertainment
    • Video Games
    • Weekly Variety
    • News By Topic
    • RSS News Feeds
  • Reviews

    • Film
    • TV
    • Legit
    • Music
    • DVD
    • Video Game
    • Book
    • Album
    • All Reviews
    • RSS Reviews Feeds
  • Charts

    • Domestic Film Box Office
    • Foreign Film Box Office
    • Legit Box Office
    • Film Production
    • TV Production
    • Primetime schedule for 2008-2009
    • Game Trailers Rankings
    • Eligible Broadway Venues
    • Festival & Market Submissions
    • Facts on Pacts
    • Slanguage Dictionary
    • All Charts
  • Features

    • 'Mamma Mia!' 10th Anniversary
    • Greenberg Glusker 50th Anniversary
    • 'ER' Series Finale
    • 'Rachael Ray' 500 Episodes
    • ShoWest
    • How to shoot a film in France
    • Mip 2009
    • Pyramedia 10th Anniversary
    • Singapore: HD Hub
    • Education Impact Report '09
  • People

    • Births
    • Exec Shuffle
    • Hitched
    • Tenpercenteries
    • Obituaries
    • Players
  • Profiles

    • Movies
    • TV Shows
    • Video Games
    • Distributors
    • Networks
    • Production Companies
    • Studios
  • Media Careers

    • Search Jobs
    • Get Job Alerts
    • Post a Job
  • Blogs

    • BLTv
    • H.A.L.
    • Littleton on the Air
    • Peter Bart
    • The Cut Scene
    • Technotainment
    • Thompson on Hollywood
    • TV Season Pass
    • Wilshire and Washington
    • Army Archerd
    • Columns >
    • Timothy M. Gray
    • Peter Bart
    • Brian Lowry
    • Todd McCarthy
  • Video

    • Movie Trailers
    • Variety Reviews
    • TV Clips
    • Dailies News
    • Music
    • Variety Screening Series
    • Sundance Film Festival
    • Video Game Trailers
    • All Video
  • Photos

    • Film Festivals
    • Premieres
    • Theater
    • Award Shows
    • Emmy Photos
    • Screening Series
    • Ten To Watch
    • Tribute/Obituary
    • Video Games
    • Recent Galleries

Theories

January
15
A Different Take: Long Tail is Wagging Happily

A day after I suggested that the Long Tail theory was losing steam in music purchases, especially among current releases, eMusic reports that approximately 75% of eMusic tracks sold at least once during 2008.
The finding contradicts a November study released by British licensing body MCPS-PRS that claimed that 10 million of the 13 million songs available on the Internet did not sell a single copy.
Obviously eMusic wants to tout their service, its popularity and the appeal of their catalog.
"eMusic IS the Long Tail,” said Madeleine Milne, eMusic Managing Director, Europe.
She goes on to state that eMusic customers use the service because of insightful editorial content, a passionate subscriber community and an easy-to-use recommendation engine.  
Milne reinforces the notion that people who pay attention to musical and its quality get their information the old-fashioned way - recommendations and reviews - and are willing to take risks. Which we see borne out, almost weekly, by the list of best-sellers provided by the Coalition of Independent Music Sellers. Most week's it's a top 10 that, if I had an album on it, I'd beam with pride over the artists surrounding my title.
This week's list:
Gourds - Haymaker!
Fleet Foxes - Fleet Foxes
Animal Collective - Merriweather Post Pavilion
Kings Of Leon - Only By The Night
Byrne/Eno - Everything That Happens Will
Tv On The Radio - Dear Science
Glasvegas – Glasvegas
MGMT - Oracular Spectacular
Bon Iver – For Emma Forever Ago
Neil Young - Sugar Mountain

Technorati Tags: eMusic, Long tail

Posted at 12:19 PM in Theories | Permalink | Comments ( 1 ) | TrackBack ( 0 )

February
12
Mariah, Einstein and A Possible Sales Formula

Mariahsingle Mariah Carey is again banking on a mid-April release date for an album, in this case "E=MC2" which will be released on tax day. It's the same week she released her "Emancipation of Mimi," the album that made the world forget about her breakdowns, "Glitter" and divorces (from Tommy Mottola, Columbia Records and EMI).
Sure "Mimi" topped 5 million in sales in the U.S. and she returned to playing arenas, but it was also three years ago. The RIAA was not even two years into filing lawsuits against music fans with computers.
Mariah is a breed apart and she looks like one of the industry's few superstars capable of still posting significant sales numbers. But will she feel the pinch in a manner similar to other star acts?
Carey sold 404,000 copies of "Mimi" in its first week after its April 12, 2005 release, which one would think is not the best day to make an album available. A year later, the majors even avoided the April 15 week.
Last year, RCA mailed their returns and issued Avril Lavigne's "The Best Damn Thing," getting a return of 286,000 sold. That was only 75% of the 381,000 that her previous album, "Under My Skin," sold in its debut session.
The question becomes: Can Mariah do what few other artists can do, post similar or better sales marks with the follow up a multi-million seller? Kanye West and Carrie Underwood are about the only recent additions to that list.
Not that we know anything about math, but it seemed like a good exercise to create an over/under just like the oddsmakers in Vegas. Initial inclination is to set the number at 303,000 - 75% of the sales of her last disc - but that seems a little low, especially considering the way she has handled herself over the last couple of years.
As a bonus, it looks like she won't have much competition among new releases; right now, she is only up against week two of Leona Lewis's debut.
"Mimi" probably set a mark that n;t be topped but she could come close if the first single "Touch My Body" does well at radio and online. (It was released Tuesday). If "Touch" shoots into the top 10 and lingers there, I would put the line at 365,000. If the single stalls, that o/u will drop to 320K or so.
By the way, what's with the title? "E=MC²"? Not to be catty, but perhaps she should realize Einstein had to live 50 years after devising the theory of relativity, never coming close to topping it. "Butterfly," anyone?   
And considering the title of the first single, “Touch My Body,” it's surprising she didn't call the album "C5H11ONO." 

Posted at 05:12 PM in Mariah Carey, Theories | Permalink | Comments ( 1 ) | TrackBack ( 0 )


About

The Set List is written and compiled by Variety associate editor Phil Gallo. Gallo, based in Los Angeles, writes about the music business for Daily Variety and reviews concerts, television shows and theater.

Subscribe to this blog's feed
-- Advertisement --


Featured Post

BEST ROCK RADIO STATION SILENCED
Indie 103.1 goes off the air after demonstrating how variety can define an excellent station.

Archives

  • February 2009
  • January 2009
  • December 2008
  • November 2008
  • October 2008
  • September 2008
  • August 2008
  • July 2008
  • June 2008
  • May 2008

More...

Categories

  • 50 Years/100 Songs
  • Abe Vigoda
  • AC/DC
  • Adam Green
  • Adele
  • Ads
  • Against Me!
  • Al Green
  • Alan Vega
  • Alicia Keys
  • Allman Brothers Band
  • Alvin Youngblood Hart
  • Amadou & Mariam
  • Amazon
  • American Idol
  • Americana
  • Amy Winehouse
  • Andrew Bird
  • Angie Stone
  • Animal Collective
  • Annie Lennox
  • Anniversary
  • Antony and the Johnsons
  • Apples in Stereo
  • Arctic Monkeys
  • Area 51
  • Aretha Franklin
  • Art
  • ASCAP
  • Auctions
  • Auditions
  • Avril Lavigne
  • Awards
  • B-52's
  • B.B. King
  • Babyface
  • Barack Obama
  • Barbra Streisand
  • Barenaked Ladies
  • Barry Manilow
  • Baseball
  • Beach Boys
  • Beastie Boys
  • Beatles
  • Beck
  • Benefit
  • Best Fwends
  • BET
  • Bette Midler
  • Betty Buckley
  • Beyonce
  • Billy Joel
  • Bisop Allen
  • Black Crowes
  • Black Eyed Peas
  • Black Flag
  • Black Mountain
  • Blake Lewis
  • Blogs
  • Bluegrass
  • Blues
  • Bo Diddley
  • Bob Dylan
  • Bob Marley
  • Bob Mould
  • Bob Odenkirk
  • Bob Weir
  • Bon Jovi
  • Booker T. & the MG's
  • Books
  • Bootlegs
  • Boris
  • Boy George
  • Boz Scaggs
  • Brandi Carlile
  • Brett Dennen
  • Brian Wilson
  • Britney Spears
  • Broadway
  • Broken Social Scene
  • Bromst
  • Bruce Springsteen
  • Busts
  • Butch Walker
  • Byrds
  • Cafe Carlyle
  • Cafe Tacuba
  • Calexico
  • Canceled
  • Carrie Underwood
  • Cat Power
  • CBGB
  • Cedric the Entertainer
  • Celebration
  • Celine Dion
  • Charley Patton
  • Charts
  • Cheating
  • Cher
  • Chick Corea
  • Chris Brown
  • Christmas
  • Circle Jerks
  • Classical
  • Clay Aiken
  • Clive Davis
  • Clubs
  • CMJ
  • Coachella
  • Coldplay
  • Comedy
  • Concert Tapes
  • Concerts
  • Contests
  • Corbin Bleu
  • Counting Crows
  • Country
  • Covers
  • Critics
  • CSNY
  • Culture
  • Culture Club
  • Cure
  • Dan Deacon
  • Dan Deacon Bromst
  • Dance music
  • Dangermouse
  • Dap-Kings
  • Daryl Hall
  • Dave Alvin
  • Dave Stewart
  • David Bowie
  • David Byrne
  • David Vandervelde
  • Deals
  • Dean Martin
  • Death Row
  • Death Row Records
  • Depeche Mode
  • Devendra Banhart
  • DeVotchKa
  • Dexter Romweber
  • Dino Saluzzi
  • Disco
  • Disney
  • DIY
  • Dizzy Gillespie
  • Django Reinhardt
  • Documentary
  • Dolly Parton
  • Donita Sparks
  • Downloads
  • Dr Dre
  • Dr Dre Detox
  • Dr. John
  • Duets
  • Dusty Springfield
  • DVD
  • Eagles
  • Elmore James
  • Elton John
  • Elvis Costello
  • Elvis Presley
  • EMI
  • Endangered Species
  • Eno
  • Eric Clapton
  • Esa-Pekka Salonen
  • Everlast
  • Experimental
  • F Yeah Fest
  • Fads
  • Fall Out Boy_
  • Fantasia
  • Fats Domino
  • Feist
  • Festivals
  • Film
  • Flava Flav
  • Flavor Flav
  • Flight of the Conchords
  • Foo Fighters
  • Food and Drink
  • Football
  • Frank Sinatra
  • Frankie Valli
  • Franz Ferdinand
  • Franz Ferdinand Katherine Kiss Me
  • Franz Ferdinand Madden
  • Gamble & Huff
  • Garth Brooks
  • Gene Clark
  • George Clinton
  • Gilberto Gil
  • Girl Talk
  • Giveaways
  • Glass Candy
  • Glastonbury
  • Glen Campbell
  • Gnarls Barkley
  • Government
  • Grammys
  • Grateful Dead
  • Greg Gillis
  • Guitar Hero
  • Guns N' Roses
  • Gustavo Dudamel
  • Hall & Oates
  • Hank Williams
  • Hank Williams Jr.
  • Hardcore
  • Health
  • Heart
  • Hellogoodbye
  • Henry Cow
  • Henry Grimes
  • Herbie Hancock
  • High Places
  • High School Musical
  • hip hop
  • Hires and Fires
  • Hold Steady
  • Holidays
  • Hollywood Bowl
  • Hootie & the Blowfish
  • Hotel Cafe
  • Husker Du
  • Ice-T
  • In Court
  • In My Room
  • In Rehearsal
  • Industry
  • Instruments
  • Interpol
  • Interview
  • INXS
  • iTunes
  • Jackson Browne
  • James Blunt
  • James Mercer
  • James Taylor
  • Jane Siberry
  • Jane's Addiction
  • Janet Jackson
  • Jay-Z
  • Jazz
  • JD Souther
  • Jeff Garlin
  • Jennifer Lopez
  • Jerry Lee Lewis
  • Jets
  • Jim Bianco
  • Jimi Hendrix
  • Joe Jackson
  • Joe Strummer
  • Joe Zawinul
  • John Brannon
  • John Coltrane
  • John Fogerty
  • John Legend
  • John Lennon
  • John Mellencamp
  • John Pizzarelli
  • Johnny Cash
  • Jonah Ray
  • Jonas Brothers
  • Joni Mitchell
  • Jose Gonzalez
  • Josh Fadem
  • Journey
  • Judy Garland
  • Juno
  • Justice
  • Justin Timberlake
  • Kanye West
  • Karma Chamaeleon
  • Kelly Clarkson
  • Kevin Drew
  • Kevin Shields
  • Kid Rock
  • Kimya Dawson
  • Klaxons
  • Kraftwerk
  • Kurt Elling
  • Largo
  • Lawsuits
  • Led Zeppelin
  • Leonard Cohen
  • Liam Finn
  • Liars
  • Lil Wayne
  • List
  • Little Feat
  • Live Albums
  • Live Nation
  • Lollapalooza
  • Los Angeles
  • Los Lobos
  • Lost
  • Lou Reed
  • Louis Armstrong
  • Lucinda Williams
  • Lyle Lovett
  • Lynard Skynard
  • Madden 09
  • Madonna
  • Mariah Carey
  • Mariza
  • Maroon 5
  • Matt Dwyer
  • Max Roach
  • MC5
  • McCoy Tyner
  • Mercury Prize
  • Merle Haggard
  • Metallica
  • Michael Jackson
  • Michael Roth
  • Mick Jagger
  • Mike Watt
  • Miles Davis
  • Miley Cyrus
  • Moby
  • Mogwai
  • Moody Blues
  • Morrissey
  • MTV
  • Music
  • Musical instruments
  • My Bloody Valentine
  • My Morning Jacket
  • MySpace
  • NAACP
  • Naked Brothers
  • Nas
  • Negative Approach
  • Neil Diamond
  • Neil Young
  • Nels Cline
  • Neville Brothers
  • New jobs
  • New Releases
  • New Year's Eve
  • New York
  • Nick Lowe
  • Nickelback
  • Nils Lofgren
  • Nina Simone
  • No Age
  • Noel Gallagher
  • Nokia Theater
  • Notorious B.I.G.
  • NRBQ
  • Nurse With Wound
  • Oasis
  • Obituary
  • On Sale
  • Oops
  • Opera
  • Ornette Coleman
  • Oscars
  • Otis Redding
  • P Diddy
  • Paint It Black
  • Pat Metheny
  • Patriots
  • Paul Anka
  • Paul McCartney
  • Paul Potts
  • Paul Weller
  • Paul Westerberg
  • Pavement
  • Pearl Jam
  • Pete Seeger
  • Pete Townshend
  • Peter Gabriel
  • Phil Roy
  • Philadelphia
  • Pink Floyd
  • Pitchfork
  • PJ Harvey
  • Politics
  • Poll
  • Portishead
  • Postponement
  • Primal Scream
  • Prince
  • Public Enemy
  • Publications
  • Punk
  • Punk Rock
  • Queen
  • Quoted
  • R&B
  • R.E.M.
  • Radio
  • Radiohead
  • Radiohead In Rainbows
  • Raekwon
  • Ramblin' Jack Elliott
  • Ramones
  • Randy Jackson
  • Randy Newman
  • Ray Charles
  • Ray Davies
  • Records
  • Reissues
  • Remixed
  • Research
  • Reunions
  • Reviews
  • RIAA
  • Richard Hell
  • Richard Thompson
  • Richie Havens
  • Ringtones
  • Roast
  • Robbie Williams
  • Robert Fripp
  • Robert Wyatt
  • Rock and Roll Hall of Fame
  • Rock Star
  • RockFour
  • Rolling Stones
  • Roxy
  • Roy Orbison
  • Rufus Wainwright
  • Rumors
  • Ry Cooder
  • Ryan Adams
  • Ryan Bingham
  • Sales
  • Sam Cooke
  • Sara Bareilles
  • Say Anything
  • Scavenger Hunt
  • Scott Kempner
  • Scotty Moore
  • Seal
  • Sean Carlson
  • Sean Combs
  • Sean Penn
  • Set lists
  • Sex Pistols
  • Shelby Lynne
  • Sigur Ros
  • Silver Jews
  • Siouxsie
  • Sirius
  • Slash
  • Slipknot
  • Smashing Pumpkins
  • Snoop Dogg
  • Sondre Lerche
  • Songs
  • Sonic Youth
  • Soul
  • SoundScan
  • Soundtrack
  • Spain
  • Spice Girls
  • Spiritualized
  • Sports
  • Stanley Clarke
  • Starbucks
  • Stars
  • Status Quo
  • Stax
  • Steely Dan
  • Stephen King
  • Steve Winwood
  • Stevie Ray Vaughan
  • Stevie Wonder
  • Sub Pop
  • Sugar
  • Suicide
  • Sun Ra
  • Super Bowl
  • Suzanne Vega
  • SXSW
  • T Bone Burnett
  • Talking Heads
  • Technology
  • Television
  • Tha Carter III
  • The Clash
  • The Doors
  • The Eagles
  • The Game
  • The Mae Shi
  • The Melvins
  • The Moldy Peaches
  • The Runaways
  • The Rutles
  • The Shins
  • The Stooges
  • The Who
  • Theater
  • Thelonious Monk
  • Theories
  • Thievery Corporation
  • Thom Yorke
  • Ticketmaster
  • Tim McGraw
  • Timbaland
  • Tina Turner
  • Tom Jones
  • Tom Petty
  • Tom Verlaine
  • Tom Waits
  • Tour
  • Trash Talk
  • Tribute
  • Tupac
  • Tupac Shakur
  • Tweens
  • Ty Taylor
  • U2
  • Universal Music
  • Unkle
  • Ute Lemper
  • Vampire Weekend
  • Van Halen
  • Van Hunt
  • Van Morrison
  • Video
  • Video Game
  • Vinyl
  • Wal-Mart
  • Warner Music
  • Warren Zevon
  • Waterboys
  • Weather Report
  • Webcasts
  • Weird Al
  • wendy Wasserstein
  • Wham City
  • Whitney Houston
  • Wilco
  • will.i.am
  • Willie Nelson
  • Wine and Food
  • World Series
  • Wu Tang Clan
  • Wynton Marsalis
  • XM
  • XM Radio
  • Yankee Stadium
  • Yaz
  • Year in A Critical Life
  • Yes
  • Yo La Tengo
  • Zappa

Recent Posts

  • So long, farewell, auf Wiedersehen, good night
  • Rock 'n' Roll For Art's Sake
  • Quincy Jones's New Protege: A Pianist From Cuba
  • Set List: Prince, Hollywood 2009
  • Eddie Van Halen Designs a Guitar to Get Closer to the Fans
  • Review: Leonard Cohen Takes Manhattan
  • Rallying for the Ring: LA Opera Unveils its Take on Wagner
  • Henry Rollins Returns to Radio
  • Review: Jon Hassell, Dhafer Youssef
  • Grammy Awards Press Room First Timer Speaks Truth ... But Has a Bit to Learn

Recent Comments

Variety's Blogs

  • Army Archerd
  • BFDealmemo
  • BLTv
  • Cynthia Littleton: On The Air
  • Technotainment
  • The Cut Scene
  • Wilshire & Washington
-- Advertisement --

© Copyright 2009 Reed Business Information, a division of Reed Elsevier Inc.
Privacy Policy  |  Terms & Conditions  |  About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Site Map  |  Help  |  Login
    Media & Publishing:
  • Variety   | 
  • Variety Japan   | 
  • LA 411   | 
  • New York 411   | 
  • Video Business   | 
  • ContentAgenda   | 
  • Broadcasting & Cable   | 
  • Multichannel News   | 
  • Publishers Weekly   | 
  • Library Journal   | 
  • School Library Journal   | 
  • Críticas   | 
  • Tradeshow Week

    Manufacturing:
  • Design News   | 
  • Control Engineering   | 
  • Plant Engineering   | 
  • Purchasing   | 
  • Purchasing Data   | 
  • Logistics Management   | 
  • Industrial Distribution   | 
  • Supply Chain Management Review   | 
  • Modern Materials Handling   | 
  • Manufacturing Business Technology   | 
  • Kellysearch

    Subscriptions:
  • All Magazine and eNewsletter Subscriptions
    Business & Printing:
  • DM2-DecisionMaker   | 
  • Zibb   | 
  • Packaging Digest   | 
  • Graphics Arts Monthly   | 
  • Graphics Arts Blue Book   | 
  • Converting   | 
  • Expert Business Source   | 
  • HotFrog USA   | 
  • The Industry Measure

    Gifts & Furnishings:
  • Furniture Today   | 
  • Home Textiles Today   | 
  • Home Accents Today   | 
  • Casual Living   | 
  • Kids Today   | 
  • Gifts & Decorative Accessories   | 
  • Playthings   | 
  • Jlrs, Circ, Keystone

    Hospitality:
  • Hotels   | 
  • Restaurants & Institutions   | 
  • Chain Leader   | 
  • Foodservice Equipment & Supplies
    Electronics:
  • EDN   | 
  • Twice   | 
  • Electronic News   | 
  • Electronic Business   | 
  • Test & Measurement World   | 
  • Semiconductor International   | 
  • Instat

    Building & Construction:
  • Buildcore   | 
  • Building Design & Construction   | 
  • Building Team Forecast   | 
  • Construction Equipment   | 
  • Consulting Specifying Engineer   | 
  • Custom Builder   | 
  • Daily Commercial News   | 
  • Housing Giants   | 
  • HousingZone   | 
  • Interior Design   | 
  • Journal of Commerce   | 
  • Professional Builder   | 
  • Professional Remodeler   | 
  • Reed Connect   | 
  • Reed Construction Bulletin   | 
  • Reed Construction Data   | 
  • Reed First Source   | 
  • RS Means