February
15
Odds On Supporting Oscar Faves
Benjamin Eckstein at Hollywood & Line calculates the Oscar odds for best supporting actor and actress. While I agree with him on the frontrunners, I don't agree with him at all on who's coming up. My sense is that Hal Holbrook and Tom Wilkinson are stronger than Casey Affleck. And I'd put Tilda Swinton ahead of the other supporting actresses looking to unseat Blanchett. Not just because of the BAFTA home court win but because someone's got to win something for the very popular Michael Clayton. And she's a Brit. The Academy loves classy Brits.
Odds to win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor:
Javier Bardem ("No Country for Old Men") 1/8Casey Affleck ("The Assassination of Jesse James") 8/1
Hal Holbrook ("Into the Wild") 12/1
Tom Wilkinson ("Michael Clayton") 15/1
Philip Seymour Hoffman ("Charlie Wilson's War") 18/1
Between the Lines:
Think of some of the greatest villians in movie history. Norman Bates in "Psycho," Freddy Krueger in "A Nightmare on Elm Steet," and Hannibal Lecter in "The Silence of the Lambs." Now you can add Anton Chigurh in "No Country for Old Men." Javier Bardem has crafted one of THE most evil characters that we have seen on the silver screen and WILL be rewarded with the Oscar. NO QUESTIONS. NO DOUBTS. And ladies and gents, if you think Bardem is just all about the evil, put ""Before Night Falls" in your Netflix que. Javier did a complete 180 degree turn as the gay Cuban writer, Reinaldo Arenas, which, as it happens, was directed by Julian Schnabel, a nominee for Best Director this year for "The Diving Bell and the Butterfly."Odds to win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actress:
Cate Blanchett ("I'm Not There") evenAmy Ryan ("Gone Baby Gone") 2/1
Ruby Dee ("American Gangster") 5/2
Saoirse Ronan ("Atonement") 12/1
Tilda Swinton ("Michael Clayton") 15/1
Between the Lines:
Without question, this is the tightest race of all at the Oscars. Cate Blanchett, the regal English actress that has dibs on just about every Queen role, from Elizabeth I to the ethereal Queen Galadriel in "The Lord of the Rings," secured this Best Supporting Actress nomination by playing Bob Dylan. Yup, Bob Dylan. Since the great Cate ain't gonna win Best Actress, the voters will probably let her go gold with this Dylan outing. However, watch the fast-closing Ruby Dee, who could sneak up and grab the statue based on her effort in "American Gangster," and her phenomenal career that has spanned eight, yea EIGHT, decades.
For the line on the weekend boxoffice, go to the jump:
Which movie will have the highest box office gross this weekend?" "Jumper" 3/1"The Spiderwick Chronicles" 5/1
"Step Up 2 the Streets" 20/1
"Definitely, Maybe" 150/1
Here are the over/unders for the weekend box office:
"Jumper" $34.5 million"The Spiderwick Chronicles" $27.5 million
"Step Up 2 the Streets" $17.5 million
"Definitely, Maybe" $9.5 million
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I certainly hope Cate takes the Oscar. Her portrayal of Dylan was dazzling.
And if you're a fan of Cate, Dylan or Cate's version of Dylan then you might interest in my new novel, BLOOD ON THE TRACKS.
It's a murder-mystery. But not just any rock superstar is knocking on heaven's door. The murdered rock legend is none other than Bob Dorian, an enigmatic, obtuse, inscrutable, well, you get the picture...
Suspects? Tons of them. The only problem is they're all characters in Bob's songs.
You can get a copy on Amazon.com or go "behind the tracks" at www.bloodonthetracksnovel.com to learn more about the book.
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